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What this means. A wallet put $213.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +13.4 pts vs the price over 36 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$213.7k
BUY Yes @ 76¢ · 281,655 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100k5 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet5.7× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet Erasmus. took Yes (buy) for $213.7k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $213.7k+2
5 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 76¢ means
76%chance the market gave
−315American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 76¢
- Implied odds
- 75.9%
- Size
- $213.7k
- Placed
- Sep 11, 08:50 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Erasmus.
- Tx
- 0xb2195742…
This wallet's graded record
29/36+13.4 pts
expected 24.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +24 ptsYes price · entry 76¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.5k | excluded |