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What this means. A wallet put $90.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$90.0k
BUY Yes @ 72¢ · 125,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet MZeller1559 took Yes (buy) for $90.0k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied a 72% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $90.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 72¢ means
72%chance the market gave
−257American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 72¢
- Implied odds
- 72.0%
- As American odds
- −257 no vig
- Size
- $90.0k
- Placed
- Jul 04, 19:32 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MZeller1559
- Tx
- 0xaa1d2607…
This wallet's graded record
5/9-0.2 pts
expected 5.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +28 ptsYes price · entry 72¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $199.8k 10.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $27.4k | excluded |