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What this means. A wallet put $275.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It won. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$275.3k
BUY No @ 47¢ · 581,490 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $250k4 fills in 1h5.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet athelstan took No (buy) for $275.3k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $275.3k+3
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+111American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.3%
- As American odds
- +111 no vig
- Size
- $275.3k
- Placed
- Jun 18, 09:05 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 18, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- athelstan
- Tx
- 0xa53c207f…
This wallet's graded record
5/10+21.5 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +53 ptsNo price · entry 47¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $28.5k | excluded |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.4k | excluded |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $28.5k | excluded |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL No @ 78¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $34.7k | excluded |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 79¢ | $10.3k | excluded |