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What this means. A wallet put $11.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.2k
SELL No @ 91.6¢ · 12,226 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet sbimbg took No (sell) for $11.2k at an average 91.6¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 91.6¢
- Implied odds
- 8.4%
- Size
- $11.2k
- Placed
- Jan 25, 11:23 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 21:42 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sbimbg
- Tx
- 0x9ec610c1…
This wallet's graded record
1/10-9.0 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -8 ptsNo price · entry 91.6¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92.7¢ | $19.8k | called |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92.7¢ | $10.8k | called |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92.3¢ | $24.6k | called |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 92.7¢ | $12.1k | missed |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY No @ 92.3¢ | $41.0k 2.1× usual |
called |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 91.9¢ | $14.9k | called |