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What this means. A wallet put $21.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.6k
BUY Yes @ 71¢ · 30,397 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletEconomy
What happened
Wallet ScottyNooo took Yes (buy) for $21.6k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.6k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 71¢ means
71%chance the market gave
−246American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 71¢
- Implied odds
- 71.1%
- Size
- $21.6k
- Placed
- Jul 27, 21:18 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ScottyNooo
- Tx
- 0x7dd86dad…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +29 ptsYes price · entry 71¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |