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What this means. A wallet put $71.6k on PARIVISION, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$71.6k
BUY PARIVISION @ 72¢ · 99,460 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet BITCOINTO500K took PARIVISION (buy) for $71.6k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied a 72% chance for that side. The market resolved Astralis, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $71.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 72¢ means
72%chance the market gave
−257American odds
$1.00paid per share if PARIVISION wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 72¢
- Implied odds
- 72.0%
- As American odds
- −257 no vig
- Size
- $71.6k
- Placed
- Feb 01, 09:06 EST
- Market close
- Feb 01, 14:00 EST
- Result
- Astralis
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BITCOINTO500K
- Tx
- 0x6df70e27…
This wallet's graded record
4/12-23.5 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -72 ptsPARIVISION price · entry 72¢ · resolved Astralis
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢ | $103.2k 2.6× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY PARIVISION @ 65¢ | $16.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Astralis @ 52¢ | $33.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Astralis @ 29¢ | $29.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Astralis @ 26¢ | $31.6k | called |