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What this means. A wallet put $14.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
$14.2k
BUY Yes @ 75¢ · 18,793 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletEconomy

What happened

Wallet ScottyNooo took Yes (buy) for $14.2k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.2k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−308American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
75¢
Implied odds
75.5%
Size
$14.2k
Placed
Jul 28, 23:08 EDT
Market close
Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ScottyNooo
Tx
0x63c9b20c…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price

Other flags on this market

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