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What this means. A wallet put $20.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called
$20.1k
BUY Yes @ 95.8¢ · 20,967 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet JustHereWaiting took Yes (buy) for $20.1k at an average 95.8¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2281American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
95.8¢
Implied odds
95.8%
Size
$20.1k
Placed
Jul 16, 18:28 EDT
Market close
Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
JustHereWaiting
Tx
0x4bbbe03f…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+4.2 pts
expected 1.0 from price
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