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What this means. A wallet put $52.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$52.0k
BUY Yes @ 61¢ · 85,107 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10k4 fills in 1hFresh walletOther
What happened
Wallet sidechair1 took Yes (buy) for $52.0k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $52.0k+1
4 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 61¢ means
61%chance the market gave
−157American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 61¢
- Implied odds
- 61.1%
- Size
- $52.0k
- Placed
- Apr 07, 18:14 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 07, 21:24 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sidechair1
- Tx
- 0x46a035fc…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+38.9 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +39 ptsYes price · entry 61¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $143.7k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $47.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $68.2k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $110.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |