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Will France win on 2026-07-09?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $23.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-07-09?excluded$23.5k
BUY No @ 38¢ · 62,351 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $23.5k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $23.5k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+166American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 38¢
- Implied odds
- 37.6%
- As American odds
- +166 no vig
- Size
- $23.5k
- Placed
- Jul 09, 16:15 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 09, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x2ea1d136…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -38 ptsNo price · entry 38¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $38.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.1k | excluded |