← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $139.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.4 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$139.5k
BUY No @ 93¢ · 150,000 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteProven wallet5.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet RegardedMoney took No (buy) for $139.5k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $139.5k+2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 93.0%
- Size
- $139.5k
- Placed
- Jul 18, 06:44 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 18, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- RegardedMoney
- Tx
- 0x0e8824ae…
This wallet's graded record
13/20+11.4 pts
expected 10.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +7 ptsNo price · entry 93¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.9k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England? | LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England? | MED BUY No @ 93¢ | $34.2k | called |