← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.1 wins, so it did -26.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-26.6 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
2.1
Flagged volume
$293.6k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$240.7k
Last 30 days −$4,534 · $1.36M volume · 236 trades · since Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$12.7k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$250.5k
Closed-position win rate
50%
2 closed
Wallet age · markets
88d
3 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 4 | 1 | 2.1 | -26.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | HIGH BUY No @ 21¢ | $35.3k | missed |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 56¢ | $21.4k | missed |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 57¢ | $41.7k | missed |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | HIGH BUY No @ 72¢ | $195.3k 5.1× usual |
called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x0c689c8e78588fd3d02e56a6e787e7f9e9b09e76"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x0c689c8e78588fd3d02e56a6e787e7f9e9b09e76.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0c689c…