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Air Force vs. Wyomingexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $22.9k on Air Force, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.4 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.9k
BUY Air Force @ 69¢ · 33,247 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Air Force (buy) for $22.9k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved Wyoming. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.9k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−221American odds
$1.00paid per share if Air Force wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 68.9%
- As American odds
- −221 no vig
- Size
- $22.9k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 20:47 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Wyoming
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ferrariChampions2026
- Tx
- 0xc7c3d70c…
This wallet's graded record
12/22-4.4 pts
expected 13.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -69 ptsAir Force price · entry 69¢ · resolved Wyoming
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.