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What this means. A wallet put $22.9k on Air Force, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.4 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Air Force vs. Wyomingexcluded
$22.9k
BUY Air Force @ 69¢ · 33,247 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Air Force (buy) for $22.9k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved Wyoming. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $22.9k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−221American odds
$1.00paid per share if Air Force wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
69¢
Implied odds
68.9%
As American odds
−221 no vig
Size
$22.9k
Placed
Oct 23, 20:47 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 21:00 EDT
Result
Wyoming
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ferrariChampions2026
Tx
0xc7c3d70c…
This wallet's graded record
12/22-4.4 pts
expected 13.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -69 pts
Air Force price · entry 69¢ · resolved Wyoming
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 69¢ · $22.9k WHALE $22.9K @ 69¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.