← Live flags
Magic vs. Celticsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $34.9k on Magic, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Magic vs. Celticsmissed$34.9k
BUY Magic @ 79¢ · 43,948 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xf668…5c69 took Magic (buy) for $34.9k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved Celtics, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $34.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−384American odds
$1.00paid per share if Magic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 79.3%
- As American odds
- −384 no vig
- Size
- $34.9k
- Placed
- Apr 11, 16:40 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 12, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Celtics
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xf668…5c69
- Tx
- 0xc49fdbb2…
This wallet's graded record
4/7-4.0 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -79 ptsMagic price · entry 79¢ · resolved Celtics
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | MED SELL Celtics @ 96.3¢ | $43.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 82¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | MED SELL Celtics @ 80¢ | $32.7k | excluded |