← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.7k
BUY No @ 34¢ · 31,609 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $10.7k at an average 34¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $10.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 34¢ means
34%chance the market gave
+194American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 34¢
- Implied odds
- 34.0%
- As American odds
- +194 no vig
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 23:57 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0xbad5b01f…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -34 ptsNo price · entry 34¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |