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What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on Over, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-6.7 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
BUY Over @ 51¢ · 24,681 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Over (buy) for $12.6k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 07:56 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ferrariChampions2026
- Tx
- 0xa2d4aeea…
This wallet's graded record
12/23-6.7 pts
expected 13.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsOver price · entry 51¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.