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What this means. A wallet put $19.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?pending
$19.2k
BUY Yes @ 71¢ · 27,075 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletPolitics

What happened

Wallet 0x3e73…a49c took Yes (buy) for $19.2k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $19.2k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 71¢ means
71%chance the market gave
−245American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
71¢
Implied odds
71.0%
Size
$19.2k
Placed
Oct 22, 15:45 EDT
Market close
Nov 03, 23:59 EST
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x3e73…a49c
Tx
0x46e3981c…

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.5 pts
Yes price · entry 71¢ · now 72¢
66¢71¢76¢ Whale entry 71¢ · $19.2k WHALE $19.2K @ 71¢ +1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?LOW BUY No @ 29¢ $13.7k29% dromedaryy1h agopending