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What this means. A wallet put $38.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.5 pts over 26 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.9k
BUY No @ 88¢ · 44,365 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet scottilicious took No (buy) for $38.9k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $38.9k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−714American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 87.7%
- Size
- $38.9k
- Placed
- Aug 10, 03:03 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 15, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- scottilicious
- Tx
- 0x2457e994…
This wallet's graded record
23/26+1.5 pts
expected 22.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +12 ptsNo price · entry 88¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $36.9k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ | $11.2k | excluded |