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What this means. A wallet put $21.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.1k
BUY Yes @ 76¢ · 27,774 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet fhdsjj took Yes (buy) for $21.1k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 76¢ means
76%chance the market gave
−317American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 76¢
- Implied odds
- 76.0%
- As American odds
- −317 no vig
- Size
- $21.1k
- Placed
- Mar 20, 11:23 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 21, 15:45 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- fhdsjj
- Tx
- 0x1d5a3faa…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-76.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -76 ptsYes price · entry 76¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $55.2k | missed |