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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -26.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-26.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$74.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±30.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$279.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $10.41M volume · 15,373 trades · since Jan 13, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$856.6k
Open P&L · 35 positions
−$571.0k
Closed-position win rate
44%
249 closed
Wallet age · markets
284d
281 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | -26.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $19.4k | called |
 Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $55.2k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x19e27e…