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What this means. A wallet put $142.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$142.6k
BUY No @ 76¢ · 188,729 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet ABCDE125 took No (buy) for $142.6k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $142.6k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 76¢ means
76%chance the market gave
−309American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 76¢
- Implied odds
- 75.6%
- As American odds
- −309 no vig
- Size
- $142.6k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 13:24 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ABCDE125
- Tx
- 0x18b56a9b…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-27.5 pts
expected 1.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -76 ptsNo price · entry 76¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | MED BUY Yes @ 26¢ | $66.9k 2.8× usual |
excluded |