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What this means. A wallet put $29.5k on Magic, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+3.1 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.5k
BUY Magic @ 51¢ · 58,319 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet Talvez10 took Magic (buy) for $29.5k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Timberwolves, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $29.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−102American odds
$1.00paid per share if Magic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 50.5%
- As American odds
- −102 no vig
- Size
- $29.5k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 09:48 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Timberwolves
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Talvez10
- Tx
- 0x0ed9f075…
This wallet's graded record
14/25+3.1 pts
expected 13.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsMagic price · entry 51¢ · resolved Timberwolves
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.