← Wallets
+$1,656Yes · avg 4¢ → 9.6¢ · $2,865−$2,003Yes · avg 73¢ → 20¢ · $761−$10Yes · avg 70¢ → 69¢ · $690−$1,319Yes · avg 78¢ → 18¢ · $394−$0No · avg 71¢ → 69¢ · $14
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -9.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-9.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$30.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$34.2k
Last 30 days −$1,236 · $4.35M volume · 9,678 trades · since Jul 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 457 closed
+$38.0k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$1,676
Closed-position win rate
62%
457 closed
Wallet age · markets
826d
423 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -9.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 91¢ | $10.7k | missed |
 Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 98.8¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfd39b5…