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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did +25.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+25.9 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$102.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$20.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $745.0k volume · 49 trades · since Jun 19, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$96.9k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$115.0k
Closed-position win rate
100%
19 closed
Wallet age · markets
127d
23 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | +25.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | MED BUY England @ 54¢ | $59.2k | called |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 94¢ | $42.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf3c1cc…