← Wallets
+$1,283Yes · avg 33¢ → 93.5¢ · $1,982+$426Yes · avg 12¢ → 48¢ · $570
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.6 wins, so it did +9.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+9.0 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
3.6
Flagged volume
$124.1k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±14.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$18.1k
Last 30 days +$405 · $310.6k volume · 370 trades · since Jul 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$22.3k
Open P&L · 106 positions
−$4,314
Closed-position win rate
83%
41 closed
Wallet age · markets
473d
142 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 4 | 4 | 3.6 | +9.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $31.9k | called |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $30.0k | called |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $23.8k | called |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $16.5k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf0a0dd…