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jwerhor

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +2.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+$538Yes · avg 6.2¢ → 6.6¢ · $9,164
Price-adjusted edge
+2.5 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$131.1k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$30.3k
Last 30 days +$4,427 · $9.92M volume · 7,933 trades · since Jun 18, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$34.8k
Open P&L · 4 positions
+$63
Closed-position win rate
29%
172 closed
Wallet age · markets
494d
172 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other200.5-24.7 pts
Sports110.4+57.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?MED SELL No @ 80¢ $60.9k20% 144d agomissed
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW BUY Spurs @ 43¢ $10.8k43% 146d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?MED SELL No @ 71¢ $59.5k29% 160d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xee1706…