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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +46.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+46.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$56.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$83.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.75M volume · 5,573 trades · since Feb 08, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 499 closed
+$83.2k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
59%
499 closed
Wallet age · markets
258d
468 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +46.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17? | LOW BUY No @ 54¢ | $31.1k | called |
 LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner | LOW SELL Weibo Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $25.7k | excluded |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xebc74e9bb96aefee476be4518510f506bbd94003"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xebc74e9bb96aefee476be4518510f506bbd94003.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xebc74e…