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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -54.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-54.8 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$491.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$666.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $11.41M volume · 4,116 trades · since Mar 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$979.3k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$313.3k
Closed-position win rate
58%
53 closed
Wallet age · markets
209d
59 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -54.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 54¢ | $58.4k | excluded |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | MED BUY Arizona Wildcats @ 51¢ | $258.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | MED BUY Clippers @ 53¢ | $41.8k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | MED BUY Clippers @ 55¢ | $132.5k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe934f2…