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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did +34.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+34.7 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$189.4k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$159.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $9.40M volume · 2,021 trades · since Aug 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.83M
Open P&L · 119 positions
−$1.99M
Closed-position win rate
72%
308 closed
Wallet age · markets
1180d
415 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 2.0 | +34.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Celtics vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 58¢ | $13.2k | called |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 60¢ | $30.8k | called |
| 76ers vs. Clippers | MED BUY 76ers @ 52¢ | $46.3k | excluded |
 UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Saint Denis @ 78¢ | $35.5k | called |
 Rams vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 56¢ | $63.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe8a8cc…