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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +7.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+7.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$71.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$107.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $7.26M volume · 2,302 trades · since Feb 12, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$107.1k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
54%
108 closed
Wallet age · markets
254d
104 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 0.9 | +7.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Celtics vs. Bucks | LOW BUY Bucks @ 44¢ | $15.8k | missed |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 42¢ | $14.6k | called |
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24? | MED BUY No @ 29¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe749dd…