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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did +41.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+41.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$174.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.24M
Last 30 days +$0 · $150.70M volume · 845,853 trades · since Nov 13, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$17.49M
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
346d
15120 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | +41.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spurs vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Spurs @ 67¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Spurs @ 67¢ | $11.0k | called |
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | MED BUY Patriots @ 33¢ | $92.4k 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 51¢ | $18.9k | called |
| 76ers vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 49¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Nets vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 80¢ | $26.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe60a9b…