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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +19.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+19.2 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$37.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±39.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$161.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.45M volume · 3,518 trades · since Nov 08, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 474 closed
−$138.6k
Open P&L · 20 positions
−$21.2k
Closed-position win rate
24%
474 closed
Wallet age · markets
350d
442 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +19.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 19¢ | $11.4k | called |
 Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | LOW SELL Spurs @ 95¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd9953a…