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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -3.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-3.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$123.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$33.5k
Last 30 days +$33.8k · $1.27M volume · 637 trades · since Sep 19, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$231.0k
Open P&L · 14 positions
−$197.4k
Closed-position win rate
94%
18 closed
Wallet age · markets
35d
30 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -3.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Broncos vs. 49ers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 60¢ | $60.0k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 68¢ | $34.0k | called |
| Packers vs. Jets | LOW BUY Jets @ 39¢ | $29.9k | missed |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xd729f11adff3be01381ffe3b2215e02e90b009d7"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xd729f11adff3be01381ffe3b2215e02e90b009d7.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd729f1…