← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did +33.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+33.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$63.5k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$176.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.88M volume · 3,612 trades · since Jan 15, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$176.3k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$2
Closed-position win rate
58%
73 closed
Wallet age · markets
282d
72 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +20.0 pts |
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +47.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $11.2k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $41.2k 3.7× usual |
called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xd12cba563f08a96846b50c4d0047443741ccf2d4"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xd12cba563f08a96846b50c4d0047443741ccf2d4.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd12cba…