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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -7.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-7.0 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$80.7k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$419.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $15.19M volume · 14,496 trades · since Sep 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 459 closed
−$419.6k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
44%
459 closed
Wallet age · markets
403d
439 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 1.2 | -7.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Arizona Wildcats @ 71¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 45¢ | $13.7k | called | |
| LOW BUY Nuggets @ 61¢ | $15.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Suns @ 34¢ | $10.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Magic @ 42¢ | $10.1k | missed | |
| LOW BUY 76ers @ 81¢ | $10.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Warriors @ 34¢ | $10.2k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xcf119e…