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+$98Yes · avg 94¢ → 94.5¢ · $18.6k · 1 proven with, 0 against
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Same side: 1 proven · 0 losing Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$82.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$21.1k
Last 30 days +$98 · $1.67M volume · 671 trades · since Jun 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$21.2k
Open P&L · 1 positions
+$98
Closed-position win rate
84%
186 closed
Wallet age · markets
1580d
134 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $12.5k | pending |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 92.4¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | MED BUY Yes @ 91.8¢ | $31.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
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