← Wallets
+$3,507Yes · avg 78¢ → 83¢ · $61.5k+$1,087No · avg 76¢ → 82¢ · $13.8k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$440Yes · avg 57¢ → 82¢ · $1,463+$3No · avg 57¢ → 82¢ · $10
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +17.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+17.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$27.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$25.1k
Last 30 days +$3,078 · $664.6k volume · 382 trades · since Apr 04, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$20.6k
Open P&L · 4 positions
+$5,037
Closed-position win rate
78%
9 closed
Wallet age · markets
204d
11 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | +17.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $14.6k | called |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW BUY No @ 78¢ | $13.3k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xbcf306…