← Wallets
−$268No · avg 84¢ → 76¢ · $2,732
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +5.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+5.6 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$120.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$6,739
Last 30 days −$179 · $132.8k volume · 7 trades · since Jun 03, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$7,030
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$268
Closed-position win rate
100%
1 closed
Wallet age · markets
143d
2 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +5.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | HIGH BUY No @ 94.4¢ | $120.8k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xbc97ba…