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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +68.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+68.3 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$970.1k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$963.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $8.42M volume · 2,033 trades · since Jun 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2.16M
Open P&L · 15 positions
−$1.18M
Closed-position win rate
91%
22 closed
Wallet age · markets
133d
37 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | +68.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED BUY Team Falcons @ 45¢ | $146.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Iron Wing @ 43¢ | $25.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 67¢ | $31.0k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY England @ 34¢ | $102.0k | called | |
| MED BUY Spain @ 43¢ | $235.5k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 18¢ | $22.1k | called | |
| MED BUY England @ 51¢ | $210.6k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $197.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xbb5fbe…