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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +11.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+11.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$74.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$93.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.19M volume · 2,204 trades · since Jan 14, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 416 closed
+$313.6k
Open P&L · 367 positions
−$226.3k
Closed-position win rate
90%
416 closed
Wallet age · markets
283d
769 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | +11.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | LOW BUY Vitality @ 88¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 18¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 77¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $18.7k | called |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $11.2k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb917bb…