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theta-thunberg

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

Not No · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Same side: 2 proven · 0 losing   Other side: 0 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$10.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$62.7k
Last 30 days −$1,779 · $2.27M volume · 5,278 trades · since Jul 05, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$101.5k
Open P&L · 44 positions
−$765
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
476d
988 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseLOW SELL No @ 92¢ $10.1k8% 1d agopending

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