← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -70.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-70.8 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$35.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±45.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$993.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $31.56M volume · 37,703 trades · since Feb 14, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.03M
Open P&L · 44 positions
−$123.8k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
983d
865 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -70.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
 US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $23.3k | missed |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xb74711992caf6d04fa55eecc46b8efc95311b050"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xb74711992caf6d04fa55eecc46b8efc95311b050.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb74711…