← Wallets
+$55Yes · avg 91¢ → 91.5¢ · $10.1k+$276No · avg 92.5¢ → 95.4¢ · $8,982−$532Yes · avg 29¢ → 26¢ · $4,914+$96No · avg 90.1¢ → 94.5¢ · $2,055+$62No · avg 88¢ → 93.5¢ · $1,062+$171No · avg 69¢ → 88¢ · $792 · 1 proven with, 0 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +9.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+9.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$49.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$3,825
Last 30 days −$55 · $168.0k volume · 32 trades · since Jul 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4,008
Open P&L · 6 positions
+$129
Closed-position win rate
86%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
87d
13 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +9.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $24.1k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $24.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xaff4dc…