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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +34.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+34.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$12.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±47.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$9,830
Last 30 days +$11 · $1.16M volume · 170 trades · since Oct 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$9,830
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
25%
20 closed
Wallet age · markets
732d
20 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +34.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Panthers vs. Lightning | LOW BUY Lightning @ 66¢ | $12.5k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xafafcc…