← Wallets
−$168Yes · avg 76¢ → 74¢ · $5,806+$455No · avg 76¢ → 98.8¢ · $1,975−$990Yes · avg 61¢ → 12¢ · $230 · 0 proven with, 1 against+$90Yes · avg 5.7¢ → 18¢ · $132
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +16.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+16.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$31.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±36.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$9,782
Last 30 days −$640 · $1.01M volume · 35,395 trades · since Mar 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$49.6k
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$14.0k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
225d
8413 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +16.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $31.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xae89da…