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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -61.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-61.9 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$81.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$132.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $9.21M volume · 3,142 trades · since Sep 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$54.8k
Open P&L · 15 positions
−$77.5k
Closed-position win rate
71%
149 closed
Wallet age · markets
405d
153 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -61.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 62¢ | $36.0k | missed |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 96.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $35.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa9736e…