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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -67.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-67.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$563.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±47.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$105.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.91M volume · 43 trades · since Sep 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$154.1k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$199.0k
Closed-position win rate
50%
2 closed
Wallet age · markets
34d
6 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -67.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Giants vs. Rams | MED BUY Giants @ 29¢ | $70.0k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | MED BUY Colts @ 30¢ | $60.0k | excluded |
| Raiders vs. Chargers | LOW SELL Raiders @ 99.9¢ | $237.8k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Raiders vs. Chargers | MED BUY Raiders @ 33¢ | $66.1k | excluded |
| Vikings vs. Bears | MED BUY Bears @ 67¢ | $129.9k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa92f2a…