← Wallets
−$625Yes · avg 21¢ → 16¢ · $2,145 · 0 proven with, 1 against+$309Yes · avg 4.3¢ → 9.9¢ · $543−$0No · avg 34¢ → 34¢ · $340+$19Yes · avg 3.6¢ → 15¢ · $25
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +50.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+50.4 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$16.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$111.8k
Last 30 days +$294 · $8.80M volume · 22,559 trades · since May 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$472.3k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$297
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
521d
1781 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +50.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 50¢ | $16.8k | called |
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