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+$33No · avg 88¢ → 97.5¢ · $329+$27No · avg 84¢ → 97.5¢ · $195+$26No · avg 66¢ → 78¢ · $172+$29No · avg 63¢ → 78¢ · $155−$154Yes · avg 12¢ → 3.6¢ · $66−$391Yes · avg 48¢ → 4.5¢ · $40−$152No · avg 71¢ → 15¢ · $39
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$17.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$12.1k
Last 30 days −$28 · $1.04M volume · 3,007 trades · since May 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$1,199
Open P&L · 24 positions
−$11.4k
Closed-position win rate
57%
197 closed
Wallet age · markets
517d
197 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97.1¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
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