iliabouchouev

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Xi Jinping out before 2027?+$772No · avg 94.1¢ → 96.8¢ · $27.8k Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?+$139No · avg 96.9¢ → 98.1¢ · $11.8k Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?+$102No · avg 96.8¢ → 97.8¢ · $11.0k Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?+$119No · avg 97.3¢ → 99¢ · $7,197 Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?+$44No · avg 93.5¢ → 98¢ · $964 Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?+$10No · avg 95.4¢ → 96.9¢ · $664 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?−$2No · avg 99.9¢ → 98.9¢ · $198 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 18?−$2No · avg 99.9¢ → 98.8¢ · $198

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$99.6k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$20.5k

Last 30 days +$649 · $12.07M volume · 74,110 trades · since Dec 21, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$52.9k

Open P&L · 500 positions

−$10.5k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

672d

19246 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢	$19.9k	1%	115d ago	excluded
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$14.9k	100%	119d ago	excluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢	$10.5k	99%	199d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$10.1k	100%	237d ago	excluded
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.4¢	$22.1k	1%	238d ago	excluded
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$22.1k	100%	238d ago	excluded

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$19.9k

LOW iliabouchouev · 115d ago

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$14.9k

LOW iliabouchouev · 119d ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?excluded

BUY No @ 98.7¢$10.5k

LOW iliabouchouev · 199d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$10.1k

LOW iliabouchouev · 237d ago

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.4¢$22.1k

LOW iliabouchouev · 238d ago

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$22.1k

LOW iliabouchouev · 238d ago

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